It burns....
The headline: Giants' motto: Without HRs, it's run, run, run
The article: The Giants don't really have a bunch of speed demons, but they're probably going to try and steal a bunch of bases anyways.
What's in the mind of the optimists in Giants Town: The 1985 Cardinals, who only had one hitter with more than twenty homers, but who managed to win 100 games with the help of a great pitching staff and a fast, fast team.
What they're forgetting: That twenty-plus homers was enough to crack the top ten in the 1985 N.L. It's a good idea to start reminiscing about 1985, but not about the Cardinals.
What they're also forgetting: That the Cards had at least one great hitter in Jack Clark. His OPS+ would be the equivalent of a .332/.410/.570 hitter today; in other words, one of the best hitters in the league. Ryan Howard or Albert Pujols, for example.
What they're also, also forgetting: That Willie McGee went goofy on the league, hitting .353/.384/.503 in a season where the league average was .252/.319/.374, and winning the MVP. That's two great seasons in the same lineup.
What they're also, also, also forgetting: That Vince Coleman stole over 100 bases at a high percentage. Dave Roberts and Rajai Davis are fast, but...yeah.
It isn't crazy to think a powerless-yet-speedy team with a fantastic pitching staff can contend. But the Cardinals had good hitters. Yes, they ran around the bases like it was the end of a Benny Hill show, but five of their eight hitters had an on-base percentage above the league average, and they had at least two great hitters in 1985.
So here's my bit of optimism: If Aaron Rowand hits .335/.410/.550, Randy Winn hits .300/.370/.490, Kevin Frandsen hits .330/.380/.440, Ray Durham hits .280/.360/.470, Rajai Davis and Dave Roberts combine to steal 100 bases, Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum are among the league leaders in ERA, and the bullpen combines to be a late-innings force, then, yes, the Giants can also win 100 games.
Also, if Charles Manson is released from prison and starts dating my wife, there's a chance that I'll raise Charles Manson's kid without knowing it. That'd be weird. But it could happen.
I'm excited about the young pitching. I'm excited about the chance that a young hitter or two will exceed expectations. I'm excited that baseball is starting up. I'm not excited about a bad offensive team with mediocre speed trying to steal a bunch of bases and lay down bunts.
0 recs |
115
comments
Comments
Re: It burns....
Randy Winn has been a terrible base stealer for his career. Omar is going to 40 years old. Rowand has never stolen more than 17 bags a year. He's also going to be turning 30 and I've never considered him to have great speed.
This year is going to be interesting but I can't help but shake the feeling that Giants management keeps trying to sell us the "NEW GIANTS" based on a bunch of nonsense.
by xanthan on Feb 18, 2008 2:04 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
by hairball on
Feb 18, 2008 2:20 PM PST
up
0 recs
Just Imagine.....
by DrBGiantsfan on
Feb 18, 2008 2:24 PM PST
up
0 recs
Fred Lewis
by Sigualicious on
Feb 18, 2008 4:33 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Fred Lewis
Of course, that complaint covers just about every Giant position player.
by Bhaakon on
Feb 18, 2008 9:39 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Fred Lewis
by howtheyscored on
Feb 18, 2008 9:53 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by jponry on Feb 18, 2008 2:04 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
by xanthan on
Feb 18, 2008 2:06 PM PST
up
0 recs
"is"?
Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
by hairball on
Feb 18, 2008 2:21 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
Just what I always dreamed of, a #4 hitter that can make contact...
by brianando on Feb 18, 2008 2:06 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
Oh god, I can already see it happening.
by howtheyscored on Feb 18, 2008 2:07 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
by jponry on
Feb 18, 2008 2:14 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by howtheyscored on
Feb 18, 2008 2:24 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by Woody Wins on
Feb 18, 2008 4:42 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
Thats the company line this year. Which is beginning to piss me off to no end. Thats the theme.
"We suck and its Bonds Fault."
Fucking communists.
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 6:37 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by KCDrummer82 on
Feb 18, 2008 8:00 PM PST
up
0 recs
Scary
Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
by hairball on Feb 18, 2008 2:23 PM PST 0 recs
how about 1984?
by wcw on
Feb 18, 2008 2:51 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
Current leader in the "understatement of 2008" category? I always enjoy Shulman. I guess that qualifies me as a homer.
Other then that Omar can't possible hit any were above 7, even on this squad, until his OBP gets up to near Tony Gwynn's career batting average. In the interest of spring training positivism I'll refrain from listing the number of 40 year old I've seen that can run well enough to play with 20 something's.
As for the concept in general they currently don't have the players for that type of ball. The have few but mostly not. It annoys me that the front office figures the fan base definition of a "running/speed" team is lack of home runs. That's it. It does not bode well for this season being anything more then 9 monkeys trying to hump a greased football - at the same time.
by daveinexile on Feb 18, 2008 2:26 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
If they call up Velez that will help as well.
I'm sure whoever has Jason Ellison would be willing to part with him? Me loves my speedy mediocre outfielders!
by UnleashTheGore on Feb 18, 2008 2:30 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
by hairball on
Feb 18, 2008 2:38 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by oldrips on
Feb 18, 2008 3:52 PM PST
up
0 recs
Adding racing wheels
I'd also like to see Winn move to 1B and let Lewis start in RF full-time. If Lewis fails, call up Nate.
I'd also hit Rowand #4 (and Benjie #5), just so he can run in front of Molina.
These three adjustments would make the Giants a much more legit running team, more interesting to watch and give us a better idea about some of the youngins':
Roberts/Davis
Velez
Winn
Rowand
Molina
Lewis (or Schierholtz)
Vizquel
Frandsen
My work here is done.
by Goofus on Feb 18, 2008 2:33 PM PST 0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
Succumb to the Enchanted t-shirt! Adopted dad of Minor Izzy
by hairball on
Feb 18, 2008 2:39 PM PST
up
0 recs
Now that's some audacity for hope
by daveinexile on
Feb 18, 2008 2:40 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
LineUp:
Lewis/Davis LF
Velez 2B
Schierholtz/Ortmeier 1B
Rowand CF
Winn RF
Molina C
Frandsen 3B
Vizquel SS
Bench:
Alfonzo C
Aurilia IF
Durham IF
Roberts OF
Ortmeier/Schierholtz 1B/OF
Davis/Lewis OF
Yeah, I would go with just 6 relievers (11 man pitching staff) and therefore 6 position player bench spots.
by giantsrainman on
Feb 18, 2008 5:31 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
He has no plate discipline, so he draws few walks, and a low OBP. He has no power. He has no speed. And he's a mediocre fielder at best. Basically Pedro Feliz without power and without a glove and without an arm.
He is a nepotism roster spot in the mold of Lance Niekro except Niekro had more pop. He is JT Snow without plate discipline, glove, or even power and about 50 percent of the cute-ass drawing power.
If you're MLB running a telethon for "physically challenged" infielders, Kevin's your boy. Frandsen is the poster child for the Giants Farms System Version of "Jerry's Kids".
Frandsen if he gets real hot, may hit .290 with no obp and no power. Just grand. Sure enough to make me forget about Barry Bonds.
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 6:47 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by giantsrainman on
Feb 18, 2008 7:00 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by WalrusMan on
Feb 18, 2008 7:20 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 8:43 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by KCDrummer82 on
Feb 18, 2008 8:02 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 8:46 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by Smoke on the Water on
Feb 18, 2008 9:02 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by drysdalecousin on
Feb 18, 2008 9:55 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by drysdalecousin on
Feb 18, 2008 10:01 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
...which means squat unless the swagger is a magic elixir that turns the drinker into Chase Utley.
by scotterduder on
Feb 19, 2008 12:14 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by Lyle on
Feb 19, 2008 2:34 AM PST
up
0 recs
Rolling around with an inflatable Straw man
by daveinexile on
Feb 19, 2008 10:35 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by jasomack on
Feb 18, 2008 10:50 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
Last winter Kevin stated his goal as getting more pitches he could drive. It is possible that by September he had begun to accomplish that goal.
In the season's final month, Kevin's pitches per at bat took a noticeable jump -- as did his OPS, to over .900 for the month.
by sharksrog on
Feb 19, 2008 6:49 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by xanthan on
Feb 19, 2008 6:56 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
by xanthan on
Feb 19, 2008 7:00 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Adding racing wheels
Last year Frandsen hit into a double play about once every 15 ABs. Ichiro hit into one double play every 347 AB.
Dood hit into 20 Dps in a measely 264 ABs
Ichiro hit into 2 Dps in 695 Abs
Its one thing to be a pretty good AAA player amongst the AAA generation (about a 3 year span which only includes players playing in the PCL or IL). It is quite another to be a competent major leaguer when competing against the best players of every generation, (about a 15 year span which includes all the best players from every level.
That is why it is no surefire thing. Major Leaguers don't cycle through every 1-3 years like they do in the different levels of the minors. That is something the Giants haven't mangaged to figure out in any empirical sense at least.
Pitching is different and easier to project. A hitter gets maybe 4 ABs per game to establish a rhythm or pattern for evaluation purposes. A pitcher gets at least that many chances per inning. Oversimplified explanation, but you get the idea.
by E Ticket on
Feb 19, 2008 8:37 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: 1985 Cardinals?
But Aaron "Warrior Spirit" Rowand is no Homer "Doc" Snoot.
by chefasaurus on Feb 18, 2008 2:43 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
Oh, and the assertion that Molina is a great contact hitter made me chuckle. I didn't know Tony Gwynn was playing catcher for us.
by KCDrummer82 on Feb 18, 2008 2:44 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 6:48 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by KCDrummer82 on
Feb 18, 2008 8:03 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by Smoke on the Water on Feb 18, 2008 2:51 PM PST 0 recs
Re: It burns....
by kennv on
Feb 18, 2008 3:01 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by Smoke on the Water on
Feb 18, 2008 3:19 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 6:49 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by senorvegas on
Feb 18, 2008 10:03 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
by jasomack on
Feb 18, 2008 10:51 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: It burns....
1)Running into a lot of outs will shorten the games.
2)The old-timers are more likely to injure themselves running, leading to a quicker transition to playing the youngsters.
by NearestNorwich on Feb 18, 2008 2:54 PM PST 0 recs
Speed
And then there is speed from the defensive side: the ability to run down balls, cut off balls in the alley etc
by wilriv21 on Feb 18, 2008 2:54 PM PST 0 recs
Re: Speed
by xanthan on
Feb 18, 2008 2:57 PM PST
up
0 recs
SF has some decent hitters
- Roberts is a platoon player and should be played that way. Has nice OBP and can steal
- Frandsen is a solid OBP and can handle the bat well
- Winn had 42 doubles and hit .300
- Rowand is a perfect fit in the line-up mixing extra base power with base running ability
- Molina is money
by wilriv21 on
Feb 18, 2008 3:20 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: SF has some decent hitters
by sharksrog on
Feb 19, 2008 6:50 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Speed
by KCDrummer82 on
Feb 18, 2008 3:40 PM PST
up
0 recs
Yes We Can!
by wilriv21 on
Feb 18, 2008 3:55 PM PST
up
0 recs
Mr. Optimism , let me buy you a beer.
by victor frankenstein on
Feb 18, 2008 4:37 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Yes We Can!
The Giants team OPS last year was .709. Like a good "run first no power" team, their team SLG was under .400 (.387). You want the OBP to be able to get the OPS even remotely close to .800. We'll say .770 (which, btw, was the team OPS of the worst team in baseball last year by record). The Giants team OBP, even proposing the SLG goes up to an even .400 (why? no good reason), has to improve by AT LEAST 50 points to get where we want to be.
To even OPS .770, in other words, the Giants team OBP has to exceed the team OBP of last year's World Series winning team. In order to play fundamental baseball, the Giants team OBP has to be better than the Red Sox. And we have to do that with Molina, Vizquel, Durham, and Aurilia all getting regular at bats (none of whom OBP'd higher than .305 last season). Goodie. I like our chances!
Fundamental baseball is a nice line, but it means nothing if your team can't hit. And mostly, our team can't hit.
by howtheyscored on
Feb 18, 2008 5:33 PM PST
up
0 recs
Getting on base is key
by wilriv21 on
Feb 18, 2008 6:33 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Getting on base is key
------------------------------------------------
You cannot "learn" to spray balls all over the field in the major leagues if you
- cannot recognize a pitch
- have no plate discipline
- have no prior experience in doing so
I could go on, but I doubt you even understand the first three.
Go ahead be a fan. But there is no reason to spew ridiculous propaganda on behalf of San Francisco Baseball Associates LP and MSM.
Its clearly just a simple regurgitation of a poorly written "fill in the blanks" press releases that could have been written about any team in any league at any level at any time.
Hopefully most of the readers here know better than to take anything you write along these lines as anything other than what they are and you don't influence some kid who doesn't know any better.
by E Ticket on
Feb 18, 2008 7:15 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Getting on base is key
by KCDrummer82 on
Feb 18, 2008 7:57 PM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Getting on base is key
After Carney's first three seasons, his walks were nearly as high as his strikeouts.
by sharksrog on
Feb 19, 2008 6:54 AM PST
up
0 recs
Re: Getting on base is key
Will Clark stole 67 bases in 115 tries. That's a success rate of 58 percent. When he got caught, he was taking a base runner and an out away from a #4 or #5 hitter in the lineup. Will Clark should not have run. Ever.
by jasomack on
Feb 18, 2008 11:07 PM PST
up
0 recs
Running the bases.
One way to have Molina with a better OBP is to not let him wear down as season progresses. To improve his OBP to .315, you would like more walks I would prefer he get more hits. Give Molina a few more off days and keep him fresh and both his BA and OBP should improve. I can see Lewis working with Kelly and improving somewhat even though Freddie's instincts are not the best.
To milk one more season out of the old guys Lanny has a lot of work. I said he is a genius, might need a miracle worker. If the vets can contribute, buy into Bochy's program and hit situationally then SF should be competitive.
by wilriv21 on
Feb 18, 2008 11:33 PM PST
up
0 recs



